Monday, January 01, 2007

The New Year starts with El Nino, or is it global warming?


First, a note about 2007. I expect to see a lot more along the lines of the issues over personal publicity that I have developed in recent posts. I did a major posting on another blog about "chutzpah" on New Year's Eve, here.

I appreciate all comments made in good faith. I haven't been moderating them, and I have been allowing anonymous comments. I don't censor any ideas. A few times, however, I have detected computer-generated comments that appear to be nothing more than ads for inappropriate products, and these ads I will feel free to remove without notice. Legitimate comments are supposed to result in email notification to me.

"December days" (that was the name of a chapter in a childhood scrapbook in grade school) were mild on the East Coast, after the first week, and the pattern continues into January. Cherry blossoms are appearing around the Tidal Basin in Washington. That is not good. The weather during Christmas was more appropriate for northern Florida (it actually has snowed at Disney World) than the mid Atlantic states. This is attributed to El Nino, which seems to drag the jet stream down in the western states, send the storms up the Ohio Valley and bring in warm southerly winds on the warm side of the storms. The tendency over the past ten years seems to be bigger rain events and less frequent snows, although when they come they can be enormous (as in 2003). I spent 1997-2003 in Minnesota, and for the most part the winter weather was no where near its reputation. The coldest it got in Minneapolis during that period was while I was in the hospital and worred about my antifreeze, on January 13, 1998, when it dipped to -23 F. Most of the time it did not get below zero, and there were many mild days in the winter even there. The biggest snow was around Feb. 24, 2001, when to the west, Watertown SD got 32 inches.

I recall only two winters in the DC area with no measurable snow: 1973-74, and 1997-98. But this year has a real chance, despite the early forecasts. Maybe the Big Apple can get through this winter for the first time with no snow.

Global warming, however, is the undeniable inconvenient truth.

Picture: B&O Museum in Baltimore, in the rain (March 2005).

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